Tridiv Vasavada, Chief Technology Officer, Wasoko, submitted this guest article to TechCabal

According to Boston Consulting Group (BCG), Africa’s informal retail sector accounts for more than 70% of food, beverage, and personal care products provided to consumers across the continent. However, despite their importance, local informal shops in Africa have been consistently held back for decades by a host of major challenges including frequent stockouts, limited access to capital and difficulty receiving goods from suppliers. 

But in recent years, the emergence of a number of tech-enabled startups building innovations geared towards solving these challenges has empowered local SMEs to unlock their full potential, positioning the industry as one of Africa’s largest opportunities for digital disruption. As we kick off 2023, Tridiv Vasavada, Chief Technology Officer at Wasoko, Africa’s largest B2B ecommerce network, explores three key industry trends to look out for this year:

Smartphones: The New Normal for Informal Retailers 

Over the last decade, the supply chain of Africa’s informal retail sector has been on a phased innovation journey, with retailers gradually growing accustomed to new methods of ordering products via SMS and sales agents. However, 2022 marked a new point of maturity for customer readiness towards tech-enabled solutions, with smartphone and app adoption reaching unprecedented levels – especially amongst retailers in Kenya, Côte d’Ivoire and Tanzania where smartphone adoption rates are projected to hit 68%, 67% and 61% respectively. 

In 2023, this trend,  which has been mainly concentrated in urban centres, can be expected to spread into other cities and potentially rural areas. One major barrier to this could be the affordability of devices, but given the huge economic benefits of mass smartphone adoption, there is growing interest from governments, NGOs and telecom operators to deliver subsidised access. Over the coming year, this will play a huge role in spearheading a new level of convenience and efficiency in Africa’s $850bn informal retail space. 

An Emerging Class of Market Leaders 

Traditionally, informal retailers in Africa have operated within limited constraints.  Many stock a limited range of essential goods in smaller quantities to accommodate for the size of their stores, which can be as little as 1 sq metre to 30 metres. However, with the growing availability of credit from fintech platforms, we should expect to see more retailers expanding their businesses, resulting in an emerging class of market leaders as seen in more mature markets such as India and Vietnam. 

However, it is important to note that these expansions will also need to be driven by a rise in consumer demand, which will definitely act as a more gradual transition with rising food prices and challenging economic conditions throughout the continent. With this in mind, it could be a few years before the market fully evolves in this area, but we should still expect a growing cluster of informal retailers to make significant strides in building more competitive businesses. 

The Evolution of Logistics Networks 

Currently, millions of retailers are being constricted by a heavily fragmented logistics market with unreliable delivery systems and unpredictable prices, which can often be dependent upon personal relationships. 

However, as they expand their businesses, informal retailers will naturally require faster and more efficient supply chain networks to keep up with their demands, opening the door to more standardised and efficient service providers which can cater to their needs.

With this in mind, we should not only anticipate a stronger drive to fill this gap in the market from digital platforms — who have spearheaded innovation within the logistics sector in recent years — and also wholesalers. In 2022, wholesalers increasingly began to expand into areas such as docking and last-mile delivery, providing their customers with a more holistic service offering. As Africa’s informal retail sector experiences greater consolidation over the coming year, we can expect even more competition between these different players supporting the logistics industry, which will only benefit local shop owners.